Thursday, June 26, 2008

WARRIORS BIG BOARD

The NBA Draft Selection is based on part history, part intuition, a ton of research, and part luck. What propels a player like Kwame Brown to go #1 overall and a player like Monta Ellis drop all the way down to #40? When does a team switch from selecting 'Best Available Player' to filling a need? When do the risks of selecting a Milicic outweigh the security of selecting a more proven prospect? A combination of statistics, physical measurements, psychological studies, game film, private workouts, and background checks help teams determine who falls where in their own team's Big Board.

I don't have the luxury of sifting through most of the data, so at the risk of looking like a damn fool, I've complied a list of the draft prospects in the order I think the Warriors should chose. Many of my picks are based on watching film, watching games, reading lots of scouting reports, and the understanding team needs and fit. There will surely be some big time gaffs because I like to take calculated risks on players with high upsides, but hopefully there will be some sleeper picks that end up having long, successful careers in the NBA.
  1. Michael Beasley
  2. Derrick Rose
  3. Kevin Love
  4. *Eric Gordon
  5. O.J. Mayo
  6. Brook Lopez
  7. Marreese Speights
  8. *Russell Westbrook
  9. Jerryd Bayless
  10. Danilo Galinari
  11. Joe Alexander
  12. Anthony Randolph
  13. *D.J. Augustin
  14. Kosta Koufos
  15. DeAndre Jordan
  16. Nicolas Batum
  17. Darrell Arthur
  18. Donte Greene
  19. Brandon Rush
  20. *J.J. Hickson
  21. Mario Chalmers
  22. Alexis Ajinca
  23. JaVale McGee
  24. Robin Lopez
  25. Jason Thompson
  26. Richard Hendrix
  27. *Courtney Lee
  28. Roy Hibbert
  29. Chris Douglas-Roberts
  30. D.J. White
  31. Ryan Anderson
  32. *DeVon Hardin
  33. Nathan Jawai
  34. Serge Ibaka
  35. Nikola Pekovic
  36. Pat Calathes
  37. Kyle Weaver
  38. *Goran Dragic
  39. Gary Forbes
  40. Jamont Gordon
  41. J.R. Giddens
  42. Ante Tomic
  43. Davon Jefferson
  44. George Hill
  45. Omer Asik
  46. Malik Hairston
  47. Maarty Leunen
  48. James Gist
  49. Trent Plaisted
On the bubble: Othello Hunter, Joey Dorsey, Sonny Weems, Mike Taylor, Bill Walker, Darnell Jackson, Richard Roby, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, Shan Foster, Chris Lofton

* indicates start of new 'tier' of player rankings


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